Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.540287 0.684131 0.838935 1.015990 1.211122 1.418054 1.652597
2025-03-09 0.296132 0.476735 0.692927 0.960814 1.275498 1.626573 2.041623
2025-03-16 0.181986 0.367564 0.610855 0.930636 1.322455 1.773278 2.319207
2025-03-23 0.122684 0.311816 0.581401 0.953146 1.423276 1.976177 2.656762
2025-03-30 0.076621 0.258751 0.543636 0.955495 1.491749 2.134684 2.937210
2025-04-06 0.040486 0.205407 0.494918 0.935515 1.526365 2.248137 3.161002
2025-04-13 0.026781 0.189162 0.498093 0.983390 1.645482 2.462860 3.504181
2025-04-20 0.016888 0.175362 0.502193 1.030661 1.762593 2.674383 3.843115
2025-04-27 0.010529 0.166251 0.512104 1.085067 1.888376 2.896291 4.194469
2025-05-04 0.008265 0.170116 0.544424 1.172285 2.057950 3.173145 4.612883
2025-05-11 0.004434 0.161737 0.553075 1.223492 2.178821 3.388748 4.956799
2025-05-18 0.000874 0.141255 0.535918 1.233946 2.243462 3.532746 5.212794
2025-05-25 NaN 0.102186 0.476677 1.179591 2.223013 3.574784 5.352523
2025-06-01 NaN 0.067744 0.415562 1.116613 2.187684 3.596566 5.467257
2025-06-08 NaN 0.046875 0.376787 1.084787 2.192077 3.666102 5.637771
2025-06-15 NaN 0.039329 0.371450 1.108947 2.276328 3.839696 5.938532
2025-06-22 NaN 0.029580 0.354857 1.111561 2.328234 3.970147 6.184651
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018641 0.326353 1.089883 2.342796 4.050172 6.366389
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017667 0.337474 1.141757 2.466919 4.276211 6.733468
2025-07-13 NaN 0.016696 0.348208 1.192881 2.590012 4.501046 7.099272
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016562 0.362890 1.251622 2.724716 4.741628 7.485385
2025-07-27 NaN 0.020053 0.395837 1.345578 2.912716 5.053872 7.963034
2025-08-03 NaN 0.019455 0.408472 1.400633 3.042193 5.287865 8.341305